NFL Awards Odds

NFL awards odds price the season honours voted by a 50-member Associated Press media panel, plus specials such as Hall of Fame selection and the next coach fired.

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What do NFL awards odds cover?

The Associated Press awards cover the regular season only. Each has its own voter profile.
AwardTypical winnerWhat moves the price
Offensive Player of the YearReceiver, running back or quarterbackYards and touchdowns
Comeback Player of the YearPlayer returning from injury or a poor seasonHealth and early form
Coach of the YearCoach of a team beating expectationsRecord against the preseason win total
Hall of Fame and coach firing markets sit outside the AP awards. They are specials with their own settlement rules.

What wins Comeback Player and Coach of the Year?

Comeback Player

NFL comeback player of the year odds favour players who return from a major injury and play at a high level. A strong season after a poor one also qualifies. Prices move fastest in September, once returning players show their form.

Coach of the Year

NFL coach of the year odds follow surprise. A team with a low preseason win total that reaches the playoffs is the classic profile. Coaches of perennial contenders rarely win, because voters reward improvement over results.

How does the Offensive Player race differ from MVP?

NFL offensive player of the year odds often favour non-quarterbacks. Voters tend to give MVP to a quarterback and OPOY to the season's most productive receiver or running back. The same player can win both, but voters treat them as separate ballots. A receiver chasing a yardage record usually holds a short OPOY price by midseason. Watch the MVP market too, because a runaway MVP quarterback can still take OPOY votes.

How do Hall of Fame and coach firing odds settle?

Hall of Fame

Players become eligible five years after retirement. The new class is announced before the Super Bowl, and induction takes place in Canton, Ohio. NFL hall of fame odds usually ask whether a player is selected in a given year.

Coach firing

NFL coach firing odds price which head coach leaves first, or whether a named coach is gone by a set date. Settlement follows the official team announcement. Rules on resignations and mutual departures vary, so the market terms decide those cases.

How do you approach award futures over a season?

  1. Know the voters

    Read how the panel has voted in recent seasons for each award.

  2. Bet before the narrative

    Prices shorten fast once a story takes hold in the media.

  3. Spread small stakes

    Several small positions beat one large bet on a long price.

  4. Track health

    A missed month usually ends a player's award chances.

NFL Awards FAQ

When are the NFL awards announced?

The NFL awards are announced at NFL Honors, held in the days before the Super Bowl. Voting takes place after the regular season ends. This means award bets placed in September stay open for about five months. Prices usually settle into a clear order by late December, once most of the season has been played.

Do NFL awards include playoff performance?

No, NFL awards are based on the regular season only. Ballots are cast after the final regular-season week, before the playoffs are complete. A strong playoff run therefore does not help a player's award case. Bettors should judge award markets on regular-season statistics and team results alone. Prices stop moving soon after the final regular-season game.

Can one player win MVP and Offensive Player of the Year?

Yes, the same player can win MVP and Offensive Player of the Year in one season. Voters fill out separate ballots for each award. In many seasons the two awards go to different players, with MVP going to a quarterback. A bet on one award has no effect on the settlement of the other. Holding both markets on one player doubles the exposure to a single season.

What is a dead heat rule in awards betting?

A dead heat rule applies when two or more winners share an award. The stake is divided by the number of winners, and the payout uses that reduced stake. A $20 bet at +500 on a co-winner shared by two players is settled as a $10 bet at +500. Shared awards are rare, but the rule is listed in the market terms.

Are award bets void if a player is injured?

No, award bets stand if a player is injured, so the stake is not refunded. An injured player usually loses his chance, and the bet then loses. Comeback Player bets are especially exposed, because many candidates are already returning from injury. Spreading stakes across several candidates reduces the effect of one setback.

What counts as a coach firing for settlement?

A coach firing market usually settles on the official team announcement that a head coach has left. Dismissals clearly count, while resignations and mutual departures depend on the market terms. Interim coaches are normally not part of the market. Reading the rules before betting avoids disputes when a coach steps away.

How long after retirement can a player enter the Hall of Fame?

A player must be retired for at least five seasons before becoming eligible for the Pro Football Hall of Fame. The class is announced before the Super Bowl, and induction follows in the summer in Canton, Ohio. Some players are selected in their first year of eligibility. Others wait many years, which is what Hall of Fame odds try to price.

How large should stakes on NFL awards be?

Stakes on NFL awards should be small, because most prices are long and only one candidate wins. A common approach is to keep all award bets to a few percent of the bankroll. Deposit and loss limits can be set in the account to hold that line. Award markets suit patient bettors who accept long losing runs.